Appearances are deceiving. It may look like Republican senators are unwilling to help fellow Americans keep their jobs and save an ailing industry. That’s how the mainstream media outlets play the story. Inconvenient facts like Ted Kennedy abstaining or that a nearly equal number of Republicans and Democrats voted against the measure are ignored. Americans don’t need to know that. They only need to know that rich and elitist Republicans voted against it. George W. Bush, a virtual recluse soon to be evicted from the White House, is scrambling around for a few spare billion. In the end, the automakers will get their money. Democrats will declare victory. Union members will continue to hate George W. Bush, dutifully following their leaders. The media will continue to bash Republicans even though most of them wanted to see a successful bailout bill.
But then, what about the money? $14 billion or $36 billion, the number really doesn’t matter, is basically a transfer payment to the UAW and skilled trade unions. GM and Chrysler execs will take a small cut for distributing the money in the form of paychecks. Union employees of GM and Chrysler will accept those paychecks, pay 35% in federal, state and local taxes, and then cough up another 4% to their respective unions. Who exactly benefited from this? Why government at all levels, of course. Taxpayer money given to the automakers comes back in the form of income, excise and sales tax paid by auto workers. Secondly, the union is guaranteed its income in the form of dues and management fees for retirement contributions and benefits taken from auto workers’ paychecks. And then, of course, auto execs can expect a little something under the Christmas tree this year for their heart-wrenching performance at the hearings.
The bailout money won’t be used to make the automakers more competitive, more stylish, more valuable or more environmentally friendly. The bailout will allow automakers and the labor unions to continue on as before, except that the government is now covering part of the horrendous operating losses. In order to be ‘responsible’ with taxpayer money, government bureaucrats will demand operating efficiencies from the car companies. And in response, the bureaucrats running those car companies will announce major cost-cutting programs designed to squeeze money out of everything and everyone.
Who gets hurt? Those who can least afford it. Stockholders have already been hammered, including GM retirees who held onto GM shares as part of their retirement programs. Banks and finance companies that have extended credit to GM and Chrysler are in a constant turmoil, re-stacking the loans and turning over paper so they don’t have to officially call in loans or notify the government that both firms are falling down on their obligations. GM and Chrysler employees who don’t belong to a union will take an awful drubbing. Many have already lost their jobs. The ones who remain are having an equally tough time. Just because GM and Chrysler have shed 20% of their white collar workforce over the last two years doesn’t mean that the work goes away. Designers, engineers, technicians, middle management and various specialists are working 50-60 hour work weeks, shouldering the load of their departed colleagues. Some are routinely working 80 hour weeks, frantically trying to keep ahead of a growing workload.
But those who suffer most and will suffer even more are the automotive suppliers - their shareholders, bondholders, managers and employees. And it’s the employees that hurt most. Unlike the major automakers, employees of auto suppliers are in a constant state of retrenching and readjusting their standard of living - downward. When auto executives demand better pricing for a tire, a piece of plastic or a radiator, the money comes right out of the pockets of supplier employees in the form of pay or benefit cuts, and/or working longer hours for the same net pay. If the supplier employees are themselves union members, the blow isn’t as severe, but the hurt is then pushed disproportionately onto unskilled, non-union employees. This is happening not because auto supplier managers are exploiting their workers. It’s that after a decade or more of cost-cutting demands from automakers, there’s no place else to go. Every ounce of fat has been squeezed out of these supplier companies. Ironically, these supplier jobs are the ones that Washington claims to be protecting, along with automaker jobs. What will in fact happen is another round of pay and benefit cuts for supplier employees, or the plants close and the jobs move overseas.
The managers running the auto supplier firms aren’t doing much better than their employees. Fifteen years of aggressive cost-cutting and brutal global competition has left many auto suppliers in a fragile state - razor thin margins, shaky balance sheets and little, if any, working capital. The Detroit 3 have foisted the costs of their poor decision-making and inefficient business practices onto their supplier base, which is groaning under the load. The net result is that a single bankruptcy of a major automotive supplier can stop the flow of critical parts and supplies to an auto assembly line, shutting down production. If there are no vehicles to sell, there is no cash flow. No cash flow means nobody gets paid. Everything starts to unravel.
But there is a bright spot in this dark and dreary situation - only, it’s not in Detroit. Ask any automotive supplier to name their most profitable, stable and problem-free account, and they’ll whisper the name of a Japanese, German or Korean manufacturer with plants in the US. Yes, the transplants are staying afloat and they’re fostering the kind of business relationships that allow their suppliers to do so, as well. Even in the midst of an economic free-fall, they’re doing better than their American competitors. Hhhmm. How could that be?
Date: December 19, 2008 @ 6:41 pm
[...] Vote Inside the auto bailout Part I [...]
http://digwe.com/tags/104/200812/gm-spare-parts.html
Date: December 22, 2008 @ 3:39 pm
[...] Vote Inside the auto bailout Part I [...]